Key Indicators

• renewable_energy_pct: 25.00
• electricity_access: 99.50
• co2_per_capita: 0.00
• energy_use_per_capita: 297.10
• renewable_electricity_output: 1.50
• electricity_from_gas_pct: 67.60
• electricity_from_oil_pct: 25.20
• electricity_from_coal_pct: 5.50
• electricity_from_hydro_pct: 0.80
• electric_power_consumption_pc: 602.70
• electricity_generation_bkwh: 101.70
• natural_gas_bcf: 711.40
• energy_consumption_qbtu: 1.97
• oil_price: 71.13
• solar_capacity_mw: 1,200.00
• solar_capacity_cagr_pct: 24.40
• solar_generation_gwh: 1,576.80
• solar_share_pct: 1.55
• pv_imports_usd: 108,592,359.00
• pv_imports_growth_pct: 90.10
• inverter_imports_usd: 610,596.00
• glass_imports_usd: 24,944,141.00
• total_solar_imports_usd: 134,147,096.00
• shs_programs: {'shs': {'name': 'Solar Home Systems', 'units_installed': 4100000, 'total_capacity_mw': 234, 'implementing_agency': 'IDCOL', 'description': "World's largest off-grid solar program. Peaked in 2018 before grid expansion reduced demand. Each SHS is typically 20-130Wp."}, 'solar_parks': {'name': 'Utility-Scale Solar Parks', 'planned_capacity_mwp': 4903, 'operational_capacity_mw': 339, 'num_parks_announced': 23, 'description': "Grid-connected solar parks under BPDB/SREDA. Major projects include Teesta (100 MW), Payra (200 MW), Feni (200 MW). Land acquisition is the primary bottleneck in one of the world's most densely populated countries."}, 'rooftop': {'name': 'Rooftop Solar & Net Metering', 'installed_capacity_mw': 111.7, 'net_metering_connections': 1250, 'description': 'Net metering guideline issued in 2018. Slow uptake due to low tariff credit rate, bureaucratic approval process, and building code gaps.'}, 'irrigation_pumps': {'name': 'Solar Irrigation Pumps', 'systems_installed': 3524, 'total_capacity_mw': 35, 'description': 'IDCOL-financed solar pumps replacing diesel for agricultural irrigation. Target: 50,000 pumps by 2025.'}, 'mini_grids': {'name': 'Solar Mini-Grids', 'operational': 28, 'capacity_mw': 4.5, 'description': 'Serving remote chars and islands. Viable where grid extension is uneconomic.'}}
• financing: {'grant_share_pct': 20, 'soft_loan_share_pct': 50, 'equity_share_pct': 30, 'financing_gap_bn_usd': 0.98, 'actual_investment_bn_usd': 0.333, 'description': 'IDCOL channels IDA/GCF grants + concessional loans through partner organizations (Grameen Shakti, etc.). The gap between required investment ($980M for 2030 targets) and actual deployment ($333M) remains significant.'}
• policy_targets: {'renewable_pct_2030': 30, 'solar_mw_2030': 6000, 'solar_mw_2041': 18000, 'net_zero_year': 2050, 'description': "Bangladesh's PSMP 2016 (revised) and INDC set ambitious solar targets. The 30% renewable target by 2030 requires ~6,000 MW of solar capacity, up from ~1,200 MW today — a 5x increase in 6 years."}
• regional_comparison: {'Bangladesh': {'solar_mw': 1200, 'population_m': 170, 'solar_watts_per_capita': 7.1}, 'India': {'solar_mw': 73000, 'population_m': 1430, 'solar_watts_per_capita': 51.0}, 'Vietnam': {'solar_mw': 17400, 'population_m': 100, 'solar_watts_per_capita': 174.0}, 'Pakistan': {'solar_mw': 1800, 'population_m': 230, 'solar_watts_per_capita': 7.8}, 'Sri Lanka': {'solar_mw': 650, 'population_m': 22, 'solar_watts_per_capita': 29.5}}
• power_capacity: {'natural_gas': 10500, 'hfo_diesel': 6200, 'coal': 3200, 'solar': 1200, 'hydro': 230, 'imported': 1160, 'wind': 3, 'total': 22493, 'shares_pct': {'natural_gas': 46.7, 'hfo_diesel': 27.6, 'coal': 14.2, 'solar': 5.3, 'hydro': 1.0, 'imported': 5.2, 'wind': 0.01}}
• generation_mix: {2016: {'gas': 64.0, 'oil': 22.0, 'coal': 2.0, 'hydro': 2.0, 'solar': 0.5, 'imports': 9.5}, 2017: {'gas': 61.0, 'oil': 20.0, 'coal': 3.5, 'hydro': 1.8, 'solar': 0.7, 'imports': 13.0}, 2018: {'gas': 58.0, 'oil': 18.0, 'coal': 6.0, 'hydro': 1.5, 'solar': 1.0, 'imports': 15.5}, 2019: {'gas': 55.0, 'oil': 17.0, 'coal': 8.0, 'hydro': 1.5, 'solar': 1.2, 'imports': 17.3}, 2020: {'gas': 53.0, 'oil': 15.0, 'coal': 10.0, 'hydro': 1.3, 'solar': 1.4, 'imports': 19.3}, 2021: {'gas': 52.0, 'oil': 14.0, 'coal': 12.0, 'hydro': 1.2, 'solar': 1.5, 'imports': 19.3}, 2022: {'gas': 50.0, 'oil': 13.5, 'coal': 15.0, 'hydro': 1.1, 'solar': 1.7, 'imports': 18.7}, 2023: {'gas': 49.0, 'oil': 13.0, 'coal': 17.0, 'hydro': 1.0, 'solar': 1.9, 'imports': 18.0, 'wind': 0.1}, 2024: {'gas': 48.0, 'oil': 13.0, 'coal': 18.0, 'hydro': 1.0, 'solar': 2.0, 'imports': 17.0, 'wind': 0.1}}
• lcoe: {'solar_pv_utility': {'low': 0.038, 'high': 0.049, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Utility-scale solar PV (ground-mounted)'}, 'solar_pv_rooftop': {'low': 0.05, 'high': 0.08, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Rooftop solar PV (commercial/residential)'}, 'onshore_wind': {'low': 0.033, 'high': 0.06, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Onshore wind turbines'}, 'natural_gas_ccgt': {'low': 0.065, 'high': 0.085, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Natural gas combined cycle (imported LNG)'}, 'hfo_diesel': {'low': 0.12, 'high': 0.18, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Heavy fuel oil / diesel generators'}, 'coal_imported': {'low': 0.07, 'high': 0.095, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Coal-fired (imported coal)'}, 'hydro': {'low': 0.04, 'high': 0.06, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Hydroelectric (limited potential in Bangladesh)'}, 'battery_storage_4h': {'low': 0.1, 'high': 0.15, 'unit': '$/kWh', 'description': 'Lithium-ion battery storage (4-hour duration)'}, 'solar_lcoe_trend': {2015: 0.13, 2016: 0.11, 2017: 0.09, 2018: 0.075, 2019: 0.065, 2020: 0.055, 2021: 0.048, 2022: 0.045, 2023: 0.042, 2024: 0.04, 'description': 'Global weighted-average utility solar LCOE decline ($/kWh), ~85% drop since 2010'}}
• projections: {'conservative': {'name': 'Conservative (BAU)', 'annual_growth_pct': 8, 'description': 'Continuation of current pace, no major policy acceleration', 'trajectory_mw': {2024: 1200, 2025: 1296, 2026: 1400, 2027: 1512, 2028: 1633, 2029: 1764, 2030: 1905, 2033: 2400, 2035: 2800, 2038: 3530, 2041: 4445}, 'solar_share_2030_pct': 3.5, 'solar_share_2041_pct': 6.0, 'investment_bn_usd': 2.0, 'co2_avoided_mt_year_2030': 1.5, 'fossil_import_savings_mn_year_2030': 300}, 'base': {'name': 'Base (Policy-Aligned)', 'annual_addition_mw': 800, 'description': '800 MW/year additions aligned with PSMP/SREDA targets', 'trajectory_mw': {2024: 1200, 2025: 2000, 2026: 2800, 2027: 3600, 2028: 4400, 2029: 5200, 2030: 6000, 2033: 8400, 2035: 10000, 2038: 12400, 2041: 14800}, 'solar_share_2030_pct': 10.0, 'solar_share_2041_pct': 18.0, 'investment_bn_usd': 4.0, 'co2_avoided_mt_year_2030': 5.0, 'fossil_import_savings_mn_year_2030': 900}, 'ambitious': {'name': 'Ambitious (Accelerated)', 'annual_addition_mw': 1200, 'description': '1,200 MW/year with aggressive policy, FDI, and grid modernisation', 'trajectory_mw': {2024: 1200, 2025: 2400, 2026: 3600, 2027: 4800, 2028: 6000, 2029: 7200, 2030: 8400, 2033: 12000, 2035: 14400, 2038: 18000, 2041: 21600}, 'solar_share_2030_pct': 14.0, 'solar_share_2041_pct': 25.0, 'investment_bn_usd': 6.5, 'co2_avoided_mt_year_2030': 7.0, 'fossil_import_savings_mn_year_2030': 1200}}
• cost_benefit: {'target_mw': 6000, 'target_year': 2030, 'fossil_fuel_import_savings_mn_year': {'low': 800, 'high': 1200, 'description': 'Annual oil/LNG import displacement savings at 6 GW solar'}, 'co2_avoided_mt_year': {'low': 4.0, 'high': 6.0, 'description': 'Annual CO2 emissions avoided (million metric tons)'}, 'health_cost_savings_mn_year': {'low': 200, 'high': 400, 'description': 'Annual health cost savings from avoided air pollution'}, 'job_creation': {'low': 60000, 'high': 100000, 'description': 'Direct and indirect jobs (manufacturing, installation, O&M)'}, 'total_investment_bn': {'low': 3.5, 'high': 4.5, 'description': 'Total lifecycle investment required 2024-2030'}, 'grid_storage_mwh': {'low': 1500, 'high': 2000, 'description': 'Battery storage needed for 20% solar penetration'}, 'land_requirement_acres': {'low': 12000, 'high': 15000, 'description': 'Land needed at ~5 acres/MW; floating/rooftop alternatives reduce this'}}
• solar_lcoe_vs_gas_savings_pct: 42.00
• solar_lcoe_vs_hfo_savings_pct: 71.00
• gap_to_2030_mw: 4,800.00
• required_mw_per_year_2030: 800.00
• required_mw_per_year_2041: 988.00