Cardiovascular disease (% probability of dying age 30-70 from CVD/cancer/diabetes/CRD)
18.1%
Source: World Health Organization, Global Health Observatory · Observed through 2021-12-31
Public health
Cardiovascular disease
হৃদরোগের বোঝা
Near-term outlook
Cardiovascular disease is classified Elevated at 18.1%, observed through 2021-12-31. That observation is about 4.8 years old. It is older than this source's publication cadence supports (one observation per reference year, published about a year after the year ends), so this is the latest published reading, not a current one. Assessment basis: Combined premature mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, and chronic respiratory disease.
Input age: Evidence observed through 2021-12-31, about 4.8 years old, which is older than this source's publication cadence supports (one observation per reference year, published about a year after the year ends). This is the latest published observation, not a current reading.
Assessment
Elevated
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 52/100.
Observed through
2021-12-31
Latest valid evidence date, about 4.8 years old.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb · Updated 2026-10-11
Evidence
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiovascular disease (% probability of dying age 30-70 from CVD/cancer/diabetes/CRD) | 18.1% | 2021-12-31 | World Health Organization, Global Health ObservatoryNCDMORT3070 |
Methodology and validation
The assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, higher readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 10.0%, 15.0%, 20.0%, 25.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.
Sources: World Health Organization, Global Health Observatory