Bangladesh national early warning
Bangladesh Crisis Orb
সংকট পূর্বাভাস · 37 hazards tracked
Policymaker briefing · Right now
Top 5 of 37 tracked hazardsWhat Bangladesh is facing today
Ranked by current state and policymaker tier. Each item links to the full hazard card with drivers, sparkline and methodology.
Bangladesh hazard map · today
full forecast →Hazard detail
All tracked hazards
Governance
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elevated short
ACC weakness
দুর্নীতি দমন কমিশন দুর্বলতা
score 40 indicative- wb iq cpa tran xq: 2.50
data through 2026-06-08
Demography
-
calm short
Aging shock
বার্ধক্য চাপ
score 17 indicative- wb sp pop 65up to zs: 6.50
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Dhaka in-migration overload
ঢাকায় অভিবাসন চাপ
score 52 indicative- wb sp urb grow: 2.82
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch short
Youth NEET
যুব নিষ্ক্রিয়তা
score 22 indicative- wb sl uem neet zs: 15.43
data through 2026-06-08
Environment
-
warning short
Air-pollution mortality
বায়ুদূষণজনিত মৃত্যু
score 80 indicative- wb air pollution mortality p5: 143.90
data through 2026-06-08
-
warning short
River pollution
নদী দূষণ
score 62 indicative- wb sh h2o smdw zs: 59.12
data through 2026-06-08
Public health
-
crisis short
Antimicrobial resistance
অ্যান্টিবায়োটিক প্রতিরোধ
score 95 indicative- who amr mrsa bsi: 77.97
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Cancer burden
ক্যান্সারের বোঝা
score 51 indicative- who cancer death rate agestd: 115.90
data through 2026-06-08
-
crisis short
Child marriage
বাল্যবিবাহ
score 97 indicative- wb sp m18 2024 fe zs: 51.40
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Cardiovascular disease
হৃদরোগের বোঝা
score 52 indicative- who ncdmort3070: 18.10
data through 2026-06-08
-
no data short
Dengue
ডেঙ্গু
indicative- Weekly dengue cases: n/a
data through 2026-06-08
-
warning short
Diabetes prevalence
ডায়াবেটিস
score 72 indicative- who diabetes prevalence agestd: 17.91
data through 2026-06-08
-
crisis short
Gender-based violence
নারীর প্রতি সহিংসতা
score 94 indicative- who sdgipvlt bgd: 48.90
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch short
Hypertension
উচ্চ রক্তচাপ
score 39 indicative- who hypertension prevalence agestd: 28.80
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch short
Maternal mortality plateau
মাতৃমৃত্যু স্থবিরতা
score 33 indicative- wb maternal mortality ratio: 115.00
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch short
Measles / HFMD outbreaks
হাম, এইচএফএমডি
score 22 indicative- who measles cases bgd: 247.00
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Mental-health treatment gap
মানসিক স্বাস্থ্য ব্যবধান
score 54 indicative- who psychiatrists per 100k: 0.13
data through 2026-06-08
-
crisis short
Out-of-pocket health spend
স্বাস্থ্যে নিজস্ব ব্যয়
score 97 indicative- wb oop health pct: 79.31
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Road-traffic injuries
সড়ক দুর্ঘটনা
score 53 indicative- wb sh sta traf p5: 15.30
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Child stunting
শিশু খর্বতা
score 47 indicative- wb stunting pct: 23.60
data through 2026-06-08
-
warning short
Tuberculosis burden
যক্ষ্মা
score 72 indicative- wb tb incidence per 100k: 221.00
data through 2026-06-08
Urban services and environment
-
calm nowcast
Air quality (PM2.5)
বায়ুর গুণমান
indicative- PM2.5 Dhaka: 26 µg/m³
- PM2.5 Chittagong: 12 µg/m³
- PM2.5 Khulna: 26 µg/m³
data through 2026-06-08
Macro-financial
-
elevated short
Banking stress
ব্যাংকিং চাপ
score 56 indicative9.6% NPL ratio
+24.7% from low 7.7% in 2020
- Gross NPL ratio: 9.6%
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch short
External / BoP / FX
বৈদেশিক মুদ্রার চাপ
score 39 indicative3.07 mo reserves (months of imports)
-64.5% from peak 8.66 mo in 2020
- Reserves (months of imports): 3.07 mo
data through 2026-06-08
-
warning short
Debt service rising
ঋণ পরিশোধ চাপ
score 64 indicative- wb dt tds dect ex zs: 15.77
data through 2026-06-08
-
warning short
Inflation regime
মূল্যস্ফীতি ব্যবস্থা
score 72 indicative10.5% CPI inflation
+90.9% from low 5.5% in 2016
- CPI inflation (YoY): 10.5%
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch short
Public debt sustainability
সরকারি ঋণের স্থায়িত্ব
score 23 indicative41.8% debt/GDP
+47.7% from low 28.3% in 2017
- Govt gross debt (% of GDP): 42.0%
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch short
Real wage erosion
প্রকৃত মজুরি ক্ষয়
score 23 indicative- wb ne con prvt pc kd zg: 4.71
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Sovereign default scenario
সার্বভৌম খেলাপি দৃশ্য
score 44 indicative- wb external debt pct gni: 22.25
data through 2026-06-08
-
crisis short
Tax / GDP stagnation
কর-জিডিপি স্থবিরতা
score 89 indicative7.6% tax/GDP
-15.6% from peak 9.0% in 2012
- Tax revenue (% of GDP): 7.6%
data through 2026-06-08
Climate and weather
-
warning nowcast
Cyclone
ঘূর্ণিঝড়
indicative- Dhaka 7d max gust: 48 km/h
- Chittagong 7d max gust: 50 km/h
- Khulna 7d max gust: 65 km/h
data through 2026-06-08
-
watch nowcast
Flash flood (haor)
হাওরে আকস্মিক বন্যা
indicative- Sunamganj Sadar 72h rain: 150 mm
- Tahirpur 72h rain: 122 mm
- Jamalganj 72h rain: 84 mm
data through 2026-06-08
Technology and cyber
-
watch short
Digital divide
ডিজিটাল বিভাজন
score 37 indicative- wb it net user zs: 53.42
data through 2026-06-08
Human development
-
warning short
Education underinvestment
শিক্ষায় কম ব্যয়
score 83 indicative2.0% education/GDP
-9.1% from peak 2.2% in 2021
- Education spending (% of GDP): 2.0%
data through 2026-06-08
-
warning short
Learning poverty
শিখন দারিদ্র্য
score 62 indicative- wb learning poverty prim: 51.22
data through 2026-06-08
-
elevated short
Teacher quality
শিক্ষকের গুণমান
score 44 indicative- wb trained teachers primary: 77.88
data through 2026-06-08
Labor
-
watch short
Female labor-force participation
নারী শ্রমশক্তিতে অংশগ্রহণ
score 24 indicative- wb sl tlf cact fe zs: 38.65
data through 2026-06-08
Watchlist
Tier-1 risks we are not yet detecting in real time
The full crisis taxonomy lists 14 domains where Bangladesh faces a first-order risk that is not yet wired to a live detector on this page. We surface them so a policymaker reading this briefing sees the whole surface, not only what we have measurement for. See methodology for the full list.