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Macro-financial

Tax / GDP stagnation

কর-জিডিপি স্থবিরতা

Near-term outlook

Tax / GDP stagnation is classified Critical at 7.6%, observed through 2021-12-31. That observation is about 4.8 years old. It is older than this source's publication cadence supports (one observation per reference year, published about a year after the year ends), so this is the latest published reading, not a current one.

Input age: Evidence observed through 2021-12-31, about 4.8 years old, which is older than this source's publication cadence supports (one observation per reference year, published about a year after the year ends). This is the latest published observation, not a current reading.

Tax revenue (percent of GDP)

7.6%

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators · Observed through 2021-12-31

Assessment

Critical

BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 89/100.

Observed through

2021-12-31

Latest valid evidence date, about 4.8 years old.

Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb · Updated 2026-10-11

Evidence

Evidence Reading Observed through Primary source
Tax revenue (percent of GDP) 7.6% 2021-12-31 World Bank World Development IndicatorsGC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS
Methodology and validation

The assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, lower readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 8.0%, 10.0%, 12.0%, 15.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. Benchmark reference: Bands anchored to the 15 percent tax-to-GDP development benchmark (World Bank, IMF). The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.

BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.

No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.

Sources: World Bank World Development Indicators