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River pollution [short]

নদী দূষণ

Environment

state

warning

score

62.2

as of

2026-06-08

crisis skill: indicative forecast intervals: under-covering

"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.

Forward outlook

Projected range over the next 3 steps: 58.50 to 59.58 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).

Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.

Drivers

Indicator Value z-score Weight As of
wb sh h2o smdw zs 59.12 - 1.00 2024-12-31

Notes

river_pollution: Safely managed drinking water (% population; inverse proxy for water-quality stress) 59.1% (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. WHO/UNICEF JMP SDG 6.1.1: safely managed drinking water service ladder. SDG target = 100% by 2030. JMP 2025 report (Progress on household WASH 2000-2024): global coverage 74% in 2024; rural global 60%; fragile-state coverage ~36 percentage Forecast (local_linear_trend, 25 obs): 59.2% in +3 steps; indicative range [58.5%, 59.6%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 65%). median trend reaches the warning line in about +1 step(s) Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.