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Public health

Measles / HFMD outbreaks

হাম, এইচএফএমডি

Near-term outlook

Measles / HFMD outbreaks is classified Watch at 247, observed through 2024-12-31. That observation is about 21 months old. Assessment basis: Reported measles cases only. This is not a measure of hand, foot, and mouth disease.

Evidence observed through 2024-12-31, about 21 months old (one observation per reference year, published about a year after the year ends).

Measles / HFMD outbreaks (reported measles cases per year)

247

Source: World Health Organization, Global Health Observatory · Observed through 2024-12-31

Assessment

Watch

BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 22/100.

Observed through

2024-12-31

Latest valid evidence date, about 21 months old.

Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb · Updated 2026-10-11

Evidence

Evidence Reading Observed through Primary source
Measles / HFMD outbreaks (reported measles cases per year) 247 2024-12-31 World Health Organization, Global Health ObservatoryWHS3_62
Methodology and validation

The assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, higher readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 175, 874, 8,735, 87,350. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.

BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.

No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.

Sources: World Health Organization, Global Health Observatory