CPI inflation (year on year)
8.8%
Source: Bangladesh Bank, National Summary Data Page · Observed through 2025-12-31
Macro-financial
Inflation regime
মূল্যস্ফীতি ব্যবস্থা
Near-term outlook
Inflation regime is classified Elevated at 8.8%, observed through 2025-12-31. That observation is about 9 months old. It is older than this source's publication cadence supports (one release per reference month, published about six weeks after the month ends), so this is the latest published reading, not a current one.
Input age: Evidence observed through 2025-12-31, about 9 months old, which is older than this source's publication cadence supports (one release per reference month, published about six weeks after the month ends). This is the latest published observation, not a current reading.
Assessment
Elevated
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 58/100.
Observed through
2025-12-31
Latest valid evidence date, about 9 months old.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb · Updated 2026-10-11
Evidence
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI inflation (year on year) | 8.8% | 2025-12-31 | Bangladesh Bank, National Summary Data Page |
Methodology and validation
The assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, higher readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 5.5%, 7.0%, 9.0%, 12.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. Benchmark reference: Bands anchored to the Bangladesh Bank medium-term inflation target (about 5.5 to 6 percent). The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.