National urban population growth (proxy for Dhaka in-migration pressure)
2.8%
Source: World Bank World Development IndicatorsAs of 2024-12-31
Next steps
Demography
Dhaka in-migration overload is classified Elevated at 2.8%, observed through 2024-12-31. Assessment basis: National urban population growth, used as a proxy for Dhaka in-migration pressure; it does not measure Dhaka-specific flows.
National urban population growth (proxy for Dhaka in-migration pressure)
2.8%
Source: World Bank World Development IndicatorsAs of 2024-12-31
Assessment
Elevated
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 52/100.
Source: BDPolicyLab assessmentAs of 2024-12-31
Movement
Unchanged
Current for source cadence
Source: BDPolicyLab comparable assessmentsAs of 24 Aug 2026, 01:25
Current for source cadence. Cadence basis: annual official series with publication lag.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb Updated 2026-08-23
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| National urban population growth (proxy for Dhaka in-migration pressure) | 2.8% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank World Development IndicatorsSP.URB.GROW |
Comparable assessments
Current movement: Unchanged
Elevated
25 Jul 2026, 04:03 to 24 Aug 2026, 01:25
339 comparable assessments.
Decision architecture
These are linked records, not recommendations. They identify documented responsibility, published policy work, and modelled instruments that have passed their respective public gates.
Owns
Local government institutions, rural development, cooperatives, and water supply and sanitation
Authority: Constitution of Bangladesh, Article 55; Rules of Business 1996
Monitors
National development planning, five-year plans, and project evaluation
Authority: Constitution of Bangladesh, Article 55; Rules of Business 1996
Grounded prescription
Absorbing Dhaka's ~400K Annual In-Migrants: A Reception-and-Services CompactWith ~400K rural-to-Dhaka arrivals a year straining housing and services and no live indicator, MoSW should first build an arrival registry, then receive, route, and support new migrants while coordinating origin-area retention.
Research · Primary
Bangladesh Urban Development & SustainabilityThe assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, higher readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 1.4%, 1.6%, 3.6%, 5.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.