← back to orb

Youth NEET [short]

যুব নিষ্ক্রিয়তা

Demography

state

watch

score

21.7

as of

2026-06-08

crisis skill: indicative forecast intervals: insufficient

"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.

Forward outlook

Projected range over the next 3 steps: 0.33 to 30.54 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).

Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.

Drivers

Indicator Value z-score Weight As of
wb sl uem neet zs 15.43 - 1.00 2024-12-31

Notes

youth_neet: Youth NEET (% youth (15-24) not in employment, education or training) 15.4% (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. ILO Global Employment Trends for Youth 2024: global youth NEET rate ~21.7% (2023); South Asia average 26.4% (2023, highest among major regions); high-income regions (East Asia, North America, Northern Europe) consistently below 15%. SDG tar Forecast (naive, 10 obs): 15.4% in +3 steps; indicative range [0.3%, 30.5%] (interval coverage not validated). Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.