Govt gross debt (percent of GDP)
41.0%
Source: International Monetary Fund DataMapper · Observed through 2024-12-31
Macro-financial
Public debt sustainability
সরকারি ঋণের স্থায়িত্ব
Near-term outlook
Public debt sustainability is classified Watch at 41.0%, observed through 2024-12-31. That observation is about 21 months old. Values for 2025 onward are an imf projection or staff estimate and are not scored; this reading uses the latest outturn.
Evidence observed through 2024-12-31, about 21 months old (one observation per reference year, published about a year after the year ends). Values for 2025 onward are an imf projection or staff estimate and are not scored; this reading uses the latest outturn.
Assessment
Watch
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 21/100.
Observed through
2024-12-31
Latest valid evidence date, about 21 months old.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb · Updated 2026-10-11
Evidence
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Govt gross debt (percent of GDP) | 41.0% | 2024-12-31 | International Monetary Fund DataMapper |
Methodology and validation
The assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, higher readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 40.0%, 55.0%, 70.0%, 90.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. Benchmark reference: Bands anchored to IMF debt-sustainability risk thresholds for emerging and developing economies. The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.