Debt-service ratio (single reported level, % of exports of goods, services, and primary income)
15.8%
Source: World Bank World Development IndicatorsAs of 2024-12-31
Next steps
Macro-financial
Debt-service pressure is classified High concern at 15.8%, observed through 2024-12-31. Assessment basis: A single debt-service-to-exports ratio level, not a rising trend.
Debt-service ratio (single reported level, % of exports of goods, services, and primary income)
15.8%
Source: World Bank World Development IndicatorsAs of 2024-12-31
Assessment
High concern
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 64/100.
Source: BDPolicyLab assessmentAs of 2024-12-31
Movement
Unchanged
Current for source cadence
Source: BDPolicyLab comparable assessmentsAs of 24 Aug 2026, 01:25
Current for source cadence. Cadence basis: annual official series with publication lag.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb Updated 2026-08-23
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt-service ratio (single reported level, % of exports of goods, services, and primary income) | 15.8% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank World Development IndicatorsDT.TDS.DECT.EX.ZS |
Comparable assessments
Current movement: Unchanged
High concern
25 Jul 2026, 04:03 to 24 Aug 2026, 01:25
339 comparable assessments.
Decision architecture
These are linked records, not recommendations. They identify documented responsibility, published policy work, and modelled instruments that have passed their respective public gates.
Owns
Budget preparation, public finance management, and government accounting
Authority: Constitution of Bangladesh, Article 55; Rules of Business 1996
Monitors
Foreign aid coordination, development partner relations, and external economic cooperation
Authority: Constitution of Bangladesh, Article 55; Rules of Business 1996
Grounded prescription
Cap the Debt Service Share of Revenue Before It Crowds Out the BudgetWith external and domestic debt service claiming a rising share of revenue, the Ministry of Finance must set a published ceiling, lengthen maturities, and lift the revenue base so interest does not crowd out spending.
Research · Related
The State of Bangladesh Public FinanceThe assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, higher readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 8.0%, 12.0%, 15.0%, 20.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.
Basis: Budget appropriation; execution governed by the Public Procurement Act 2006 (Act XXIV of 2006) and Public Procurement Rules 2008.
Model limits
Basis: Fertiliser, power, gas and food subsidies appear as budget lines rather than under a single statute. Converting an outlay into a consumer-price change needs the subsidised volume and the unsubsidised reference price, neither of which is in the lake.
Model limits