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Macro-financial

Debt-service pressure

ঋণ পরিশোধ চাপ

Near-term outlook

Debt-service pressure is classified High concern at 15.8%, observed through 2024-12-31. That observation is about 21 months old. Assessment basis: A single debt-service-to-exports ratio level, not a rising trend.

Evidence observed through 2024-12-31, about 21 months old (one observation per reference year, published about a year after the year ends).

Debt-service ratio (single reported level, % of exports of goods, services, and primary income)

15.8%

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators · Observed through 2024-12-31

Assessment

High concern

BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 64/100.

Observed through

2024-12-31

Latest valid evidence date, about 21 months old.

Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb · Updated 2026-10-11

Evidence

Evidence Reading Observed through Primary source
Debt-service ratio (single reported level, % of exports of goods, services, and primary income) 15.8% 2024-12-31 World Bank World Development IndicatorsDT.TDS.DECT.EX.ZS
Methodology and validation

The assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, higher readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 8.0%, 12.0%, 15.0%, 20.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.

BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.

No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.

Sources: World Bank World Development Indicators