Household consumption per capita growth (% annual, constant prices; proxy for real-income erosion)
4.7%
Source: World Bank World Development IndicatorsAs of 2024-12-31
Next steps
Macro-financial
Real wage erosion is classified Watch at 4.7%, observed through 2024-12-31. Assessment basis: Household consumption per-capita growth, used as a proxy for real-income erosion.
Household consumption per capita growth (% annual, constant prices; proxy for real-income erosion)
4.7%
Source: World Bank World Development IndicatorsAs of 2024-12-31
Assessment
Watch
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: 23/100.
Source: BDPolicyLab assessmentAs of 2024-12-31
Movement
Unchanged
Current for source cadence
Source: BDPolicyLab comparable assessmentsAs of 24 Aug 2026, 01:25
Current for source cadence. Cadence basis: annual official series with publication lag.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb Updated 2026-08-23
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Household consumption per capita growth (% annual, constant prices; proxy for real-income erosion) | 4.7% | 2024-12-31 | World Bank World Development IndicatorsNE.CON.PRVT.PC.KD.ZG |
Comparable assessments
Current movement: Unchanged
Watch
25 Jul 2026, 04:03 to 24 Aug 2026, 01:25
338 comparable assessments.
Decision architecture
These are linked records, not recommendations. They identify documented responsibility, published policy work, and modelled instruments that have passed their respective public gates.
Owns
Central bank of Bangladesh responsible for monetary policy, foreign exchange reserve management, banking sector regulation and supervision, currency issuance, and financial stability
Authority: Bangladesh Bank Order 1972 (President's Order No. 127 of 1972)
Monitors
Budget preparation, public finance management, and government accounting
Authority: Constitution of Bangladesh, Article 55; Rules of Business 1996
Grounded prescription
Real Wages Have Fallen Since 2022: Stop the Erosion Before It Hardens Into Lost Living StandardsThe BBS QLFS real-wage index has been falling since 2022, eroding household purchasing power, and the Ministry of Finance should lead a coordinated wage-data, inflation, and targeted-support response over the medium term.
Research · Related
Remittance Flows and Household Welfare in BangladeshThe assessment compares the latest source observation with BDPolicyLab analytical monitoring bands. For this detector, lower readings indicate greater stress; the internal analytical cutoffs are 0.0%, 1.5%, 3.0%, 5.0%. The score is a level-anchored piecewise-linear transformation with state bands at 20, 40, 60, and 85. The indicator's primary source is identified with the evidence in this card. Forecast ranges are published only as calibrated 80% predictive intervals with an explicit source time unit.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.
Research · Primary
The State of Bangladesh BankingResearch · Primary
The State of Bangladesh Financial InclusionResearch · Primary
The State of Bangladesh Prices & InflationResearch · Related
The State of Bangladesh Public FinanceResearch · Related
The State of Bangladesh RemittancesBasis: Budget appropriation; execution governed by the Public Procurement Act 2006 (Act XXIV of 2006) and Public Procurement Rules 2008.
Model limits
Basis: Fertiliser, power, gas and food subsidies appear as budget lines rather than under a single statute. Converting an outlay into a consumer-price change needs the subsidised volume and the unsubsidised reference price, neither of which is in the lake.
Model limits