Real wage erosion [short]
প্রকৃত মজুরি ক্ষয়
Macro-financial
state
watch
score
22.9
as of
2026-06-08
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Forward outlook
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 0.61 to 6.53 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.
Drivers
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| wb ne con prvt pc kd zg | 4.71 | - | 1.00 | 2024-12-31 |
Notes
real_wage_erosion: Household consumption per capita growth (% annual, constant prices; proxy for real-income erosion) 4.7% (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. World Bank Shared Prosperity target (SDG 8.1.2): bottom-40% consumption/income growth >2%/yr as equity floor; 0% is the absolute welfare contraction threshold universally applied in poverty analytics; IMF/World Bank Macro Poverty Outlook us Forecast (damped_ets, 25 obs): 4.3% in +3 steps; indicative range [0.6%, 6.5%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 58%). Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.